No sides. Just data.

We compare what the media report with what the data say

Politics · United States

Lula bucks prediction markets with Brazilian presidential win

Outlet: The Hill · Mira Bhakta · Published 26/10/2026 22:23 UTC

Only The Hill reports this: no contrast yet

None of the other outlets we follow has reported this story, so there are no versions to compare. If others publish it or data appear that test it, it will move to the comparison.

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian presidential runoff election this weekend. On Sunday, Lula was rated an underdog in the election, as his odds were at 20.2 percent on Kalshi and 20.5 percent on Polymarket at noon EDT. His opponent, Flávio Bolsonaro, the...

Read on the original outlet ↗

Capture record

Source
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/6173602-lula-brazil-election-prediction-markets/
Published
26/10/2026 22:23 UTC
Captured
26/10/2026 23:08 UTC
Changes detected
0
Archived copy
Wayback Machine ↗

The fingerprint (sha256) and the capture date prove what the story said when we analysed it, even if it changes later.